(contemplative tones) Welcome to risk mitigation. Risk mitigation is a strategy to prepare for and lessen the effects of threats faced by a business. In these lessons, you'll learn risk mitigation methods and how to reduce or eliminate risks. Risk management is a process. First, you analyze the business to identify all the possible risks and determine the probabilities of each risk occurring. There can be unlimited possibilities, but the probabilities are based on the exposures and risks that you have identified. There will always be outliers, which are occurrences identified in possibilities. But the probabilities of such incidents occurring are minimal to non-existent. Let's look at an example in business supply chains. If your company's supply chain relies on trucks to move goods, a possible risk would be a vehicle accident and employee fatality. Now that we identified the possible risk, what is the probability? According to the National Safety Council, four fatalities occur every hour on the roads in the United States. Based on this data, the possibilities of your employee being involved in a fatal crash are quite high. This risk would be different depending on where your company is located, among other factors. For example, if your company is in the United Kingdom or United Arab Emirates, where traffic fatalities are statistically lower than the United States, the probability may be much lower. Although there may be numerous factors in this scenario, millions of people drive every day without experiencing a life or death situation. Some of these factors include location, the vehicle's condition, driver's condition and experience level, other drivers on the road and their experience level, road and traffic conditions and weather conditions. You want to ask yourself these questions. How do I reduce or eliminate the possibility or probability of suffering a loss? What can I do as an individual, company or government agency to mitigate or offset the risks? One way to mitigate or reduce the risk associated with using trucks to move your products would be to choose another method of distribution, such as using a third party for delivery, such as FedEx or UPS. This may be more costly, but you would avoid the risk of one of your employees getting hurt. Another would be providing a defensive driving course for all your drivers to ensure they have the skills to avoid collisions and training on how to react in different situations on the road. The cost of the course could be offset by lower insurance claims in the long run. As a risk manager, looking at historical information is critical to determining future courses of action. The simple fact is if an incident has never occurred, this does not mean it won't. So historical information is key, but not an absolute variable. It is essential to develop a plan, strategy, procedures and policies, while maintaining a flexible and adaptable mindset to an ever-changing and fluid environment. Use the information to create a plan that is proactive rather than reactive.